Neath and Swansea East

New parliamentary constituency

This constituency is new at the July general election, and replaces the previous four constituencies:

Gower

Covered approximately 10% of this new constituency’s population, and 3% of this new constituency’s area.

Swansea East

Covered approximately 37% of this new constituency’s population, and 62% of this new constituency’s area.

Aberavon

Covered approximately 16% of this new constituency’s population, and 9% of this new constituency’s area.

Neath

Covered approximately 68% of this new constituency’s population, and 61% of this new constituency’s area.

MP

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Carolyn Harris

Carolyn Harris

Labour Party

Data from TheyWorkForYou.

MP profiles

Data collated by The Climate Coalition.

Positions and memberships

We’re currently working on collecting updated data on MP memberships.

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Votes and EDMs

Vote Position
MP vote on Environment Bill No
MP vote on Ban on Fracking for Shale Gas Bill Aye
MP support for Cumbria coal mine court appeal Did not support
MP support for Zero carbon homes Did not support
MP support for Accelerating construction work and lower carbon construction vehicles Did not support
MP support for Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty Did not support

Data from UK Parliament. Votes and EDMs selected for indicating support for climate/nature movement. See this MP’s full voting record on TheyWorkForYou.

2024 majority

6,627

Data from UK Parliament. This information is provided because in the UK electoral system, political parties and the media will be paying more attention to marginal seats and therefore the voices of the people within them can have greater national impact.

Date elected

7th May 2015

Data from UK Parliament.

More MP data <

Public opinion

Should government policy on climate change be going faster or slower?

This area National average
Go faster 54.5% 54.1%
Neither 13.0% 12.0%
Go slower 32.6% 30.9%

FocalData MRP polling for Persuasion UK. Updated July 2024.

Predicted winning party at next general election

Reform UK

FocalData MRP polling for HOPE not hate. Updated January 2025.

Results of last election

Party Votes
Labour Party 16797
Reform UK 10170
Plaid Cymru 5350
Conservative Party 3765
Liberal Democrats 2344
Green Party 1711

Data from UK Parliament. The results of the last parliamentary election held in this constituency Updated 2024-07-29.

EU (Brexit) leave vote percentage

56%

50.5% national average

Data from UK Parliament. Percentage of constituents who voted to leave the EU in the 2016 referendum Updated February 2017.

Likelihood to take action such as voting for a particular candidate or lobbying an MP to tackle climate change and protect nature

This area National average
Net likely 36.8% 39.7%
Net unlikely 29.0% 27.8%
Very likely 12% 12.2%
Quite likely 24.8% 27.5%
Neither likely nor unlikely 34.2% 32.5%
Quite unlikely 12.7% 12.6%
Very unlikely 16.3% 15.3%

Focaldata 2023 MRP polling, commissioned by HOPE not hate. This dataset has been automatically converted from 2010 parliamentary constituencies. Updated April 2023.

Should the UK have closer economic ties with the EU, even if that means giving up some sovereignty?

This area National average
Closer ties with the EU 52.5% 51.5%
Neither 5.8% 6.1%
No closer with the EU 41.7% 39.5%

FocalData MRP polling for Persuasion UK. Updated July 2024.

Would you support or oppose the building of onshore wind farms in your area?

This area National average
Neither 17.0% 18.6%
Oppose 13.2% 12.2%
Support 69.8% 66.3%

FocalData MRP polling for Persuasion UK. Updated July 2024.

Do you think immigration has generally enriched or undermined society?

This area National average
Enriched 35.4% 37.2%
Neither 10.9% 12.5%
Undermined 53.7% 47.3%

FocalData MRP polling for Persuasion UK. Updated July 2024.

Should the welfare system be expanded to help more people, or reduced to make benefits harder to get?

This area National average
Expanded 36.0% 34.1%
Neither 12.5% 11.5%
Reduced 51.6% 51.5%

FocalData MRP polling for Persuasion UK. Updated July 2024.

Would you be comfortable paying more tax, if it meant more money were invested in public services like the NHS and education?

This area National average
Comfortable 44.4% 44.3%
Neither 6.0% 6.0%
Uncomfortable 49.6% 46.8%

FocalData MRP polling for Persuasion UK. Updated July 2024.

Would you be comfortable with government debt going up, provided that money were invested in the economy and local services?

This area National average
Comfortable 55.1% 52.5%
Neither 7.5% 7.6%
Uncomfortable 37.4% 37.0%

FocalData MRP polling for Persuasion UK. Updated July 2024.

Would you support or oppose the building of new housing in your area?

This area National average
Neither 21.0% 21.1%
Oppose 14.4% 17.8%
Support 64.6% 58.2%

FocalData MRP polling for Persuasion UK. Updated July 2024.

Consider climate change a high priority

52%

53.6% national average

Public First MRP Polling, commissioned by Onward UK, adjusted for the demographics of the local area by mySociety. This dataset has been automatically converted from 2010 parliamentary constituencies. Estimated percentage of constituents who consider climate change a high priority. Updated July 2022.

Second placed party at most recent election

Reform UK

Data from UK Parliament. The parliamentary party who came second in this constituency’s most recent election or by-election Updated 2024-07-29.

Loss of nature and destruction of the environment should be one of the most important concerns for the country

This area National average
Net agree 71.0% 72.6%
Net disagree 9.1% 8.7%
Strongly agree 33.4% 33.8%
Partly agree 37.6% 38.8%
Neither agree nor disagree 19.6% 18.7%
Partly disagree 6% 5.9%
Strongly disagree 3% 2.7%

Focaldata 2023 MRP polling, commissioned by HOPE not hate. This dataset has been automatically converted from 2010 parliamentary constituencies. Updated April 2023.

Policies for tackling the cost of living crisis should go hand in hand with policies to tackle the climate crisis

This area National average
Net agree 56.5% 58.9%
Net disagree 19.4% 17.6%
Strongly agree 24.0% 24.2%
Somewhat agree 32.5% 34.7%
Neither agree nor disagree 24.2% 23.4%
Somewhat disagree 10.6% 10.5%
Strongly disagree 8.7% 7.1%

Focaldata 2023 MRP polling, commissioned by HOPE not hate. This dataset has been automatically converted from 2010 parliamentary constituencies. Updated April 2023.

Tackling climate change should / should not be one of the Government’s biggest priorities right now

This area National average
Should be a priority 54.8% 57.5%
Should not be a priority 45.2% 42.5%

Focaldata 2023 MRP polling, commissioned by HOPE not hate. This dataset has been automatically converted from 2010 parliamentary constituencies. Updated April 2023.

Neither support nor oppose Net Zero

28%

26.2% national average

Public First MRP Polling, commissioned by Onward UK, adjusted for the demographics of the local area by mySociety. This dataset has been automatically converted from 2010 parliamentary constituencies. Estimated percentage of constituents who neither support nor oppose net zero. Updated July 2022.

Oppose Net Zero

15%

12.4% national average

Public First MRP Polling, commissioned by Onward UK, adjusted for the demographics of the local area by mySociety. This dataset has been automatically converted from 2010 parliamentary constituencies. Estimated percentage of constituents who oppose net zero. Updated July 2022.

Support Net Zero

56%

60.4% national average

Public First MRP Polling, commissioned by Onward UK, adjusted for the demographics of the local area by mySociety. This dataset has been automatically converted from 2010 parliamentary constituencies. Estimated percentage of constituents who support net zero. Updated July 2022.

Support nuclear energy

54.7%

57.4% national average

Survation MRP polling, commissioned by RenewableUK, adjusted for the demographics of the local area by mySociety. This dataset has been automatically converted from 2010 parliamentary constituencies. Updated September 2022.

Support offshore wind

87.2%

85.3% national average

Survation MRP polling, commissioned by RenewableUK, adjusted for the demographics of the local area by mySociety. This dataset has been automatically converted from 2010 parliamentary constituencies. Updated September 2022.

Support renewable energy projects in their local area

87.9%

85.1% national average

Survation MRP polling, commissioned by RenewableUK, adjusted for the demographics of the local area by mySociety. This dataset has been automatically converted from 2010 parliamentary constituencies. Updated September 2022.

Support solar power

90.3%

87.6% national average

Survation MRP polling, commissioned by RenewableUK, adjusted for the demographics of the local area by mySociety. This dataset has been automatically converted from 2010 parliamentary constituencies. Updated September 2022.

Support tidal energy

87.6%

86.0% national average

Survation MRP polling, commissioned by RenewableUK, adjusted for the demographics of the local area by mySociety. This dataset has been automatically converted from 2010 parliamentary constituencies. Updated September 2022.

Support wave energy

89.2%

86.7% national average

Survation MRP polling, commissioned by RenewableUK, adjusted for the demographics of the local area by mySociety. This dataset has been automatically converted from 2010 parliamentary constituencies. Updated September 2022.

Believe that the government should continue the block on onshore wind development

20.8%

24.3% national average

Survation MRP polling, commissioned by RenewableUK. This dataset has been automatically converted from 2010 parliamentary constituencies. Updated September 2022.

Believe that the government should use wind and solar farms to reduce energy bills

84.4%

84.3% national average

Survation MRP polling, commissioned by RenewableUK. This dataset has been automatically converted from 2010 parliamentary constituencies. Updated September 2022.

Believe the government has increased investment in renewables over the past 5 years

48.2%

52.0% national average

Survation MRP polling, commissioned by RenewableUK. This dataset has been automatically converted from 2010 parliamentary constituencies. Updated September 2022.

More public opinion data <

Place

Friends of the Earth ‘State of the Environment’ report

The state of the environment in Neath and Swansea East

From Friends of the Earth. These reports highlight key environmental issues impacting people in this constituency, as well as proposed solutions. Updated August 2023.

Housing Tenure

This area National average
Owned with a mortgage 29.2% 28.9%
Other tenure 0.5% 1.2%
Owned outright 36.6% 33.3%
Private rented 15.4% 19.9%
Social rented 18.4% 16.8%

Data from ONS (England and Wales) and NISRA (Northern Ireland), collated by House of Commons Library. Updated May 2024.

Mental health has been impacted by the cost of living crisis

41.1%

41.5% national average

Survation 2023 MRP polling, commissioned by 38Degrees. This dataset has been automatically converted from 2010 parliamentary constituencies. Updated March 2023.

Estimated child poverty

24.9%

29.3% national average

Data from End Child Poverty, based on data from DWP/HMRC. This dataset has been automatically converted from 2010 parliamentary constituencies. Percentage of children living in households with a net income (after housing costs) below 60% of the national median. Updated June 2024.

Worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year

56.2%

53.5% national average

Survation 2023 MRP polling, commissioned by 38Degrees. This dataset has been automatically converted from 2010 parliamentary constituencies. Updated March 2023.

Constituency age distribution

This area National average
Ages 0 - 15 17.6% 18.3%
Ages 16 - 24 11.7% 10.5%
Ages 25 - 34 12.5% 13.2%
Ages 35 - 49 18.1% 19.1%
Ages 50 - 64 19.9% 19.8%
Ages 65 and over 20.2% 19.1%

Data from ONS (England and Wales), NRS (Scotland), and NISRA (Northern Ireland), collated by House of Commons Library. Updated May 2024.

Constituency Population

99,500

102,977.2 national average

Data from ONS (England and Wales), NRS (Scotland), and NISRA (Northern Ireland), collated by House of Commons Library. Updated May 2024.

Number of onshore windfarms

0

0.7 national average

Data from Wikipedia. Updated 2024-04-24.

Current Industry

This area National average
Agriculture, energy and water 0.9% 1.1%
Construction 3.8% 4.1%
Distribution, hotels and restaurants 8.3% 9.2%
Financial, real estate, professional and administrative activities 5.4% 7.9%
Manufacturing 3.7% 3.5%
Does not apply 56.9% 53.4%
Other 1.5% 2.1%
Public administration, education and health 16.6% 14.3%
Transport and communication 2.9% 4.4%

Data from ONS. Updated May 2024.

Current Occupation

This area National average
Administrative and secretarial occupations 5.1% 4.3%
Associate professional and technical occupations 5.0% 6.1%
Caring, leisure and other service occupations 5.0% 4.4%
Elementary occupations 4.5% 4.8%
Managers, directors and senior officials 3.8% 6.0%
Does not apply 56.9% 53.4%
Process, plant and machine operatives 3.4% 3.2%
Professional occupations 7.1% 9.4%
Sales and customer service occupations 4.0% 3.5%
Skilled trades occupations 5.0% 4.8%

Data from ONS. Updated May 2024.

Disabled under the Equality Act

23.6%

17.7% national average

Data from ONS. Updated May 2024.

Ethnicity

This area National average
Asian / Asian British 2.0% 8.1%
Mixed / Multiple ethnic groups 1.2% 2.8%
Other ethnic groups 0.6% 1.8%
Other White 2.6% 6.3%
White British 93.0% 77.5%

Data from ONS (England and Wales), NRS (Scotland), and NISRA (Northern Ireland), collated by House of Commons Library. Updated May 2024.

General Health

This area National average
Bad or very bad health 8.1% 5.3%
Fair health 14.7% 12.8%
Very good or good health 77.2% 81.9%

Data from ONS. Updated May 2024.

Have missed a bill payment in the last six months

34.6%

31.5% national average

Survation 2023 MRP polling, commissioned by 38Degrees. This dataset has been automatically converted from 2010 parliamentary constituencies. Updated March 2023.

Have missed a credit payment in the last six months

24.8%

23.6% national average

Survation 2023 MRP polling, commissioned by 38Degrees. This dataset has been automatically converted from 2010 parliamentary constituencies. Updated March 2023.

Have missed a rent payment in the last six months

21.1%

19.0% national average

Survation 2023 MRP polling, commissioned by 38Degrees. This dataset has been automatically converted from 2010 parliamentary constituencies. Updated March 2023.

Have not been able to afford to turn the heating on at home when they have felt cold in the past month

39.8%

37.5% national average

Survation 2023 MRP polling, commissioned by 38Degrees. This dataset has been automatically converted from 2010 parliamentary constituencies. Updated March 2023.

Main Language

This area National average
African languages 0.0% 0.3%
Asian languages 0.7% 3.0%
English or Welsh 94.9% 88.9%
European languages (EU) 1.2% 3.8%
Does not apply 2.8% 3.1%
North or South American languages 0% 0.0%
Oceanic or Australian languages 0% 0.0%
Any other languages 0.3% 0.6%
Other European languages (non-EU) 0.0% 0.1%
Any other UK languages 0.0% 0.0%
Sign and supported languages 0.0% 0.0%

Data from ONS. Updated May 2024.

Travel to work method

This area National average
Bicycle 0.4% 0.9%
Bus, minibus or coach 0.9% 1.8%
Driving a car or van 26.7% 21.3%
On foot 2.4% 3.5%
Work mainly at or from home 9.5% 14.5%
Underground, metro, light rail, tram 0.0% 0.7%
Motorcycle, scooter or moped 0.1% 0.2%
Not in employment or aged 15 years and under 56.9% 53.4%
Other method of travel to work 0.4% 0.5%
Passenger in a car or van 2.3% 1.8%
Taxi 0.2% 0.3%
Train 0.3% 0.8%

Data from ONS. Updated May 2024.

Worried about having to use a foodbank in the next year

32.9%

28.7% national average

Survation 2023 MRP polling, commissioned by 38Degrees. This dataset has been automatically converted from 2010 parliamentary constituencies. Updated March 2023.

Worried about not being able to afford their mortgage or rent in the next year

40.0%

40.0% national average

Survation 2023 MRP polling, commissioned by 38Degrees. This dataset has been automatically converted from 2010 parliamentary constituencies. Updated March 2023.

Country of the UK

Wales

Data from mySociety. Updated 2024-04-24.

Index of Multiple Deprivation (IMD)

2

2.8 national average

Data from ONS (England and Wales), NRS (Scotland), and NISRA (Northern Ireland), collated and standardised by mySociety. This dataset has been automatically converted from 2010 parliamentary constituencies. Deciles of deprivation, from 1 (most deprived) to 10 (least deprived). This uses a composite measure of deprivation (including income, employment, education, skills, health, crime, and housing) standardised across the countries of the UK.

More place data <

Movement

Churches that have declared a climate emergency

0

0.2 national average

Data from Tearfund. Updated July 2023.

Constituents pledged to meet MP as part of Common Grounds 2024

0

0.7 national average

Data from The Climate Coalition. Updated October 2024.

Friends of the Earth activists

257

302.3 national average

Data from Friends of the Earth. Activists have taken at least one online action for Friends of the Earth in the last 12 months. Updated January 2024.

Friends of the Earth financial supporters

39

122.2 national average

Data from Friends of the Earth. Financial supporters have donated to Friends of the Earth in the last 12 months. Updated January 2024.

Number of Great Big Green Week 2022 events

3

1.8 national average

Data from The Climate Coalition. Number of Great Big Green Week 2022 events Updated October 2022.

Number of Great Big Green Week 2023 events

2

2.2 national average

Data from The Climate Coalition. Number of Great Big Green Week 2023 events Updated July 2023.

Number of Great Big Green Week 2024 events

3

1.9 national average

Data from The Climate Coalition. Number of public Great Big Green week 2024 events held in the area. This exludes any private events that were held. Updated September 2024.

Number of RSPB Reserves

0

0.3 national average

Data from the RSPB. Updated September 2023.

Number of Save the Children shops

0

0.2 national average

Data from Save the Children. Updated July 2023.

Number of Trussell Trust foodbanks

4

2.2 national average

Data from Trussell Trust. Updated December 2022.

Number of Wildlife Trusts Reserves

1

Data from the Wildlife Trusts. Number of Wildlife Trusts Reserves Updated 2024-07-02.

Number of Women’s Institute groups

9

Data from the WI. Updated 2024-04-24.

More movement data <

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